Friday, October 8: 3:00pm

Emergence of Political Parties during Democratic Transitions: An Agent-based Approach

Sherzod Abdukadirov, PhD Candidate
School of Public Policy
George Mason University

In order to model possible scenarios of political liberalization it is important to explore what political parties are likely to emerge in the case of transition. The impact of the institutional design and underlying social structure on the emerging party system is particularly crucial. Therefore, this research focuses on the following broad questions: (1) the types of parties likely to emerge in a given society under different institutional designs; (2) probability of a fundamentalist party coming to power; (3) the level of volatility of the party system. The research utilizes agent-based modeling approach.